Wednesday, September 30, 2009
Personal Aside: Dumb GOP Will Win in Spite of Itself. Take it to the Bank.
I spoke the other day with a longtime Illinois GOP strategist the most perceptive man I know who didnt want to be quoted. Now that I review his remarks I can see why. When I asked him how he thought the partys strength and quality of leadership are to win in 2010, he said dreadful. He said take a look at Andy McKenna, Jr. a rich mans son who isnt even trusted to run his familys company but whose father an old line Democrat and contributor to the Daleys and every other Democrat he can find is pleased that the kid has at least found something to do by spending his time in the Republican party so he wont bother the Old Man at the company.
His kid is as magnetic as a lead nail, is so dull you would rather watch the paint on your window shutters dry rather than listen to him. He hasnt had an idea in years, was a totally lousy GOP state chairman and indeed got his start by being importuned by Ray LaHood, now Obamas transportation secretary, to run against Sen. Peter Fitzgerald in a primary to oppose Fitzgeralds reelection because Fitz wouldnt vote for goodies for Illinois, was a critic of old Give`em everything they want Hastert and named an incorruptible U S. District Attorney.
Here you guys have the most honest, incorruptible senator in decades and Andy decided to run against him because the GOP Washington establishment wanted him to. As it happened, Fitzgerald decided not to run for reelection (a tragedy).
You ask me about the quality of party leadership with a guy like McKenna having run things and who is running for governor with help from the country club? You have a gummy old warhorse like Topinka who has become encrusted with barnacles for lengthy service in House, Senate and State Treasurer and when she finally got a chance to run for governor shes supposedly a fiscal manager, if you please, she cant come up with a counter-budget to Blago.
In fact when she was asked this in a debate the only thing she could suggest is that Blago had commissioned installation of heating rods under the concrete leading to the governors mansiona house he wouldnt live in. That was her counter-budget. Can you imagine? She got the Republican nomination thanks to a supposed `conservative downstate state senator who was also running who attacked another conservative in the race, splitting the vote: for which he got a kiss on the cheek, a Judas Kiss, in return.
And what a rotten candidate Topinka was! A woman who when President Bush came to the state to raise money for her, quipped to the press to the press, mind you that hed better hold the fund-raiser for her in a `secure, undisclosed location. And you wonder why she lost. Now at age 65, she wants to run for Comptroller. She goes around calling columnists with cute little phrases about her bow-wow puppy who crapped in 10 countries. Thats what you got with her. One gossiper always writes shes irrepressible. Right: irrepressibly awful.
You have people running for governor, some of whom are qualified. Kirk Dillard is. You have Schillerstrom who is. Theres the same guy who split the conservative vote to give the nod to Topinka last time: Brady. Lighter than a panama hat he has served in the Senate for quite a while and still hasnt been graduated to the leadership because his colleagues know that down deep hes shallow.
In addition, you have a guy who is proud of the fact that he has had not a smidgeon of experience in government, testifying that this ignorance of events qualifies him for a run for governor. But watch him! Hes going to surprise you with the strength he has! And you have a guy who was a campaign consultant for Alan Keyes, the most conservative candidate in 150 years who wanted to repeal the Constitutional provision on election of Senators and give it back to the state legislatures as it was in the era of Henry Clay while at the same time advising Beth Coulson of Glenview who is the equivalent of Olympia Snowe: pro-abort, pro-gay rights a guy who later served as public relations adviser to the village of Cicero: a guy who pledges transparency and shining reformism as governor. You have Andy McKenna whose old man whos up in years wont hand over the CEO job.
You know what I thinkll happen? With a host of governor candidates from DuPage dividing the vote, the guy who might likely win at this stage anyhow looks like the downstater, Brady. The guy whos least qualified of all of them from the standpoint of brains. Every time I look at him I think of the 1972 film, The Candidate played by Robert Redford as Bill McKay. Too handsome, too dumb, no student of government, lazy: Hes perfect!
Running for the Senate you have Mark Kirk whos the living alternative to Edmund Burke. Burke wrote history when in a memorable letter to the Bristol electorate said and I paraphrase: `I will vote my conscience in the House of Commons and if you dont agree you can defeat me. That took courage to say. Youll never catch Kirk being courageous. Look at his record.
In contrast this guy Kirk voted straight down the line liberal when he was representing the liberal North Shore but now says if we send him to the Senate you can trust him not to do so including voting against Cap and Trade which he supported in the Housenot because its right or wrong but because when he was in the House he cravenly gave what he deduced was a majority what he thought it wanted. A guy who said publicly that he may be liberal on social values but you can trust him as a reserve military officer to vote for what is right on defense policy only to see him vote against the Surge because he figured the majority of his district expected him to.
Thats what you have in this guy Kirk. Voted against the Surge at a time when only very fewincluding the presidentsaw that it was the right thing to do. And the Surge turned things around. No thanks to Mark Kirk. But now he tells you that if you send him to the Senate you can count on him to vote as he thinks. Hah! What a laugh! You think somebody who was a wind-sock as congressman is just going to go intellectually straight as a Senator? Naw. Hes right in step with Dick Durbin. But hes got such a cute button-nose. Oh, hes a sweetie, he is. Another Bill McKay.
The guy who opposes him, Pat Hughes, is at least honest enough to say that hell vote his conscience and all the smart money says he cant win.
When I looked glum, he said: Arent you going to ask me wholl win in 2010?
I said: Wholl win? With so many dumb candidates?
He said, I didnt answer your question. Then he said: The Illinois Republican party is a stupid party the stupidest a party that ever was but circumstances are such and the electorate is such that it cant stomach the Democrats. So Republicans will win. Theyll elect a governor. If youre lucky itll be Dillard, Schillerstrom, Adam whazzhisname. Proft? Not a chance. A phrasemaker but thats all. If youre unlucky, itll be Brady. For Senate, the Dems may well nominate Hoffman who Daley wants to get out of town so he doesnt run for mayor. But it wont work. Votersll elect a Republican senator but it wont be Kirk despite his cute little button nose. Even they know a phony when they see one. Itll be Hughes.
I gasped: Hughes is fine. But Brady? Bill McKay who after he won turned to his driver and asked: `Golly, what do we do now?
Well, try to do something about it! he said.
So I just did.