David McSweeney 2
Its McSweeney and Berkowitz on Sunday
How Would Bean, if Reelected, Vote on Speaker if the House Division is Razor-Thin?...There Should be a Future for Tony Snow in Elective Politics
Anti-Topinka Republicans Should Unite to Put the GOP in Conservative Hands.
McSweeney and Berkowitz.
My guests on Sundays WLS-AM show will be David McSweeney, Republican candidate for 8th district Congress and Jeff Berkowitz, TV analyst and astute expert on, among other things, suburban politics. Can McSweeney pull it out now that Lynn Sweet, political editor for the Democratic newspaper of record, the Sun-Times, decided to take a breather from writing puff pieces for presidential candidate Barack Obama and assume the role of publicity director for Melissa Bean? Make no mistake, Sweet is a partisan journalist in the advocacy style of the late George Tagge of the Trib. As I believe newspapers should take an interpretative role in news-gathering, I cannot fault Sweet for doing what she does best as did Tagge. Republicans used to call Tagge for advice in the same way that Democrats are doing with Sweet. Even with the addition of Sweet as adjunct to the Bean campaign, the battle is not over
and McSweeney is by all odds one of the best equipped Republican candidate for the House across the country.
Dick Morris among others is reporting that the so-called wave of Democratic victory has subsided and the polls are projecting a rightward backlash. My own personal view is that the liberal mainstream media are capable of generating its own backlash to its discomfiture. For example, listening to Katie Couric interviewing Michael J. Fox on embryonic stem cells, there was no mention of Foxs earlier published book that admitted he went off his meds in order to present a shaky, jerky and non-coherent appearance before a Congressional committee. Couric said the charge was made by Rush Limbaugh without recognizing that Fox himself had made the admission.
By the way, kudos to our own Sandy Rios who the other day corrected the Smug Savant of Cockiness, Bill OReilly on his show. Rios is the locally famed conservative woman who used to host a well-listened-to talk show on WYLL radio. OReilly started his show blasting Limbaugh for supposed insensitivity to ex-actor Fox. Rios bravely and intelligently said OReilly was wrong and cited chapter and verse where Fox wrote in his own book that he purposely went off meds in order to dramatize his appearance.
A meeting of Washington reps working for Illinois businesses featured a talk by Rep. Melissa Bean (D-IL) who has courted conservatives and business in particular with her votes and her sunny attitude toward many of their projects. In an off-the-record session not long ago, Bean was asked what she would do if the House wound up almost evenly divided as some analysts, notably Michael Barone, estimates it may.
Specifically the question was asked before an all-Illinois group of lobbyists who lean with great favor on keeping Dennis Hastert as Speaker: would you cast a vote for a Democrat for Speaker that might, in a closely divided House, take the Speaker-ship away from Hastert, given the serious implications this would have for Illinois and its ability to get goodies through the federal pipeline. To the surprise of many who were there, Bean ticked off at least one favorable special interest consideration that might determine her vote for Hastert. This would be enough to set Rahm Emanuel tearing out his hair. Bean has voted for CAFTA and for a Republican strong immigration control bill in the House and was endorsed for reelection by the U. S. Chamber of Commerce.
After carefully analyzing all House races, Barone sees the probability of the Democrats winding up with a 219-216 majority. If so, he says we wont know the outcome on election night because of many factorsrecounts, challenges to canvasses, uncounted absentee votes and the like. He cites the off-year of 1930 with the country in a depression where experts predicted a quick turnover in the House to the Democrats. It didnt happen that way for a long time. At the outset there was a narrow edge to Republicans retaining controlbut a series of deaths evened the score and tipped it slightly Democratic: but not until 1931. Barone points out that Democrat Gene Taylor of Mississippi refused to vote for Nancy Pelosi in this last session of Congress and may refuse to do so again. If it gets that close again, Beanif reelected, and thats still an ifmay decide that her normally heavy Republican district would want her to support Hastert. Now that this is published, Emanuel will pick up the phone and exert the gentle persuasion that he is famous for.
Since Tony Snow has taken over as President Bushs news secretary, the defense of the White House has gained immeasurably. The former FOX anchor and radio talk-show host has everything going for him: looks, presence, wit, surety in vocabulary and a low-key relaxed manner that equals that of the early Ronald Reagan. Moreover, Snow has a sure grasp of conservative issues and an ingratiating way of salesmanship. When Bush leaves office, the national GOP should have a slot in mind for Snow. It should be a run for the U. S. Senate in a fairly accommodative state. Snow is so good that in a few years he should be a contender for the presidency: hes that impressive to me. Now that were elevating Barack Obama to the White House, we should not lose sight of the fact that a five-star telegenic personality should not be sent back to FOX but should be nurtured for what would be an exciting and creative career in Republican politics.
With the polls showing that Judy Baar Topinka has received less than even 50% of the GOP base thus far, watch for the mainstream media to downplay this and bewail her defeat solely on Rod Blagojevichs huge money war-chest. No doubt about it, the governors money means a lot at a time when he is being severely scorched by many in his own partybut the spin from the MSM will ignore the fact that Topinkas social liberalism cut her campaign off at the knees. Other factors responsible for Topinkas predicted loss will certainly be that she has been the most intellectually vapid candidate possible to find running for governor
with no program
substituting wisecracks for policy
no interest in discussing specifics of government
and a generally exhausted and energetically winded lack of appeal. As long as she has been state treasurer she has not been involved in either governing or details of philosophy so the only thing she exhibits a knowledge about is the mechanics of campaigning.
Immediately after her projected defeat, conservative Republican leaders should determine how to (a) either take over the Republican party or (b) work around it by supporting a third party along the lines of the old New York Conservative Party which gave conservatives an alternative for many years and even elected a United States Senator before it was assumed into the establishmentarian morass. There is some sentiment for Andy McKenna to stay as state GOP chairman because he has a demonstrable skill at raising money and is no great threat to conservative values. My own feeling is that conservatives should strive to make inroads into the GOP and to counterbalance it with support for a responsive and responsible Constitution Party. As for me
as Ive said before
Im writing in Randy Stufflebeam for governor, the state chairman of the Constitution Party
and voting Republican all the rest of the way down the ticket.