Saturday, August 12, 2006
Bad News for Those Republicans Who Want an Independent Party Free of the Combine: Larry Sabatos Poll Numbers Show Topinka Could Win. And Why Its Bad News.
Larry Sabato of the University of Virginia is recognized as one of the premier election analysts in the U. S. The bad news for those Republicans who dont want jobs or contracts or a party that very nearly reflects the dominant liberalism of the Democratic party but who want a reform Republican party on jobs and contracts that also reflects the philosophical position of the national GOP is that Sabato has re-designed the governors race as possible Republican pickup based on Rasmussen and other polls sbowing Topinka with 39% to Blagojevichs 45%.
Some months ago this Blog termed Topinka the more liberal candidate for governor than Blagojevich. Topinka followers hotly dispute thisbut she is. First, she has not taken a no-general income tax-hike pledge and Blagojevich has. Second, she is alike Blagojevich is almost every other social issue particular: on WGN radio the other day she said she favors over-the-counter Plan B as does Blagojevich. She favors abortion rights as does Blagojevich, favors gay rights as does Blagojevich, has marched in the gay rights parades as has Blagojevich. She went Blagojevich one better in service to the political left by refusing to endorse the reelection bid of Sen. Peter Fitzgerald while she was state chairman, a stunning rejection of a senior Republican by another and has continually lied about it despite her refusal to endorse was carried over WLS-AM.
She has a better record on the 2nd amendment and has opposed partial birth abortion but her veracity in the past when applied to the future means that any pledge she makes for future action any opinion she offers about policy for the future is unacceptable since she is not to be believed. Which means she is on par in the truth department as was George Ryan who in his last campaign led people to believe he was pro-life, anti-gay rights, pro-2nd amendment and against the OHare expansion all of which he disavowed after election.
The argument that Republican regulars use in her behalf is that if conservatives cant get a full dinner with Topinka, they should settle for a sandwich. Not so. Not only is she not to be believed in any particular because as evidence shows the truth is not in her, but her election as governor will provide a tax increase and an onus for Republicans to bear long after she leaves. She will also be counted upon to influence the selection and nomination of a Republican to oppose Richard Durbin and it would be almost certain that she would influence the nomination of another liberal of the Combine school. A Topinka victory would be far worse for Republicans than a Blagojevich victory in that it would exile authentic Republicans for the remainder of her term. No amount of sugar-coat, honeyed appeal to conservatives, whom she has steadfastly rejected, can or should be believed.